Good piece, Robert.

I disagree with you about 'alarmism'; XR's demands are exactly what is needed, for precaution and global justice. (This is clear from Tim Jackson's recent work: https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/aetw/zero-carbon-sooner/ .) But apart from that, this is really a very sound and thoughtful piece. As you may be aware, it chimes in with the analyses in my recent book: https://249897.e-junkie.com/product/1668648 , including the Appendix.

Having said that, and despite the accuracy of most of what you say here, I have come to the conclusion [as I mentioned in the dialogue I had with Ronan Harrington recently https://www.youtube.com/embed/1KqZAsi3w4c?autoplay=1 ] that we still have to 'have a go'. For the reason offered in my book / my recent stuff: that this is it. Our last chance, probably, to avoid getting committed to likely collapse. Because of the Covid reset: this chance will not come again for several years, and several years is precisely what we don't have. So, despite the odds being overwhelmingly against us, I'll be back on the streets this weekend and next week.

When you're in a last chance saloon, you gotta try, whatever the odds.

As for prefiguration: absolutely. Some of us inside and outside XR are thinking of this now under the banner of transformative adaptation. See e.g. https://docs.google.com/document/d/1lAWJxPFbV7IuShx2ShSIzN1yORL-v5_BgAbUtcAqTNI/edit . Let me know if you're intersted in exploring that further.